THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEAST TEXAS

**BETA FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE TEXAS
COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN LIBERTY
- A STORM SURGE WATCH AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BRAZORIA ISLANDS, CHAMBERS, COASTAL BRAZORIA, COASTAL
GALVESTON, COASTAL HARRIS, COASTAL JACKSON, COASTAL MATAGORDA,
GALVESTON ISLAND AND BOLIVAR PENINSULA, AND MATAGORDA ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TX OR ABOUT 280
MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATAGORDA TX
- 26.0N 92.5W
- STORM INTENSITY 60 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

AT 4 AM CDT, TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AND A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN TODAY, WITH A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FORECAST TO
BEGIN LATE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK, THE CENTER OF BETA WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE TEXAS COAST INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LOCALLY, BETA IS EXPECTED TO BRING DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG THE
COASTAL LOCATIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING RAIN AND POSSIBLE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. THE COMBINATION
OF STORM SURGE AND HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH HIGH TIDES WILL ELEVATE
THE RISK OF DANGEROUS FLOODING ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND INNER
COASTAL LOCATIONS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND COASTAL REGIONS FROM MATAGORDA
BAY THROUGH GALVESTON BAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND
DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
- MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
LISTEN TO LOCAL OFFICIAL FOR RECOMMENDED
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS, INCLUDING POSSIBLE EVACUATION. IF ORDERED TO
EVACUATE, DO SO IMMEDIATELY.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND EMERGENCY SUPPLIES
KIT AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT YOUR FAMILY AND SECURE YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE HAZARDS SUCH AS FLOODING RAIN, DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS, STORM SURGE, AND TORNADOES EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE
CENTER OF THE STORM.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW-LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO
MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.

CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER.GOV, NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES
TO THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX AROUND 10 AM CDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.